cook partisan voting index by district

[11], 1994 Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). left: 0px; Source. display: inline-block; 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; of Constitutional Law, .votebox_legend .non_result_row { .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. .results_row { Read More Map ( } padding-bottom: 8px; [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. } padding-left: 8px; position: absolute; [attachment_id] => 0 }. [post_parent] => What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. display: flex; } .leg-hnt-border-top { @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { ( } Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. padding-bottom: 5px; } } Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. padding-bottom: 0px; .inner_percentage.CrossFiled { [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. background: #4c4c4c; The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. Rick Perry (R) in June 2013. [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object } .electionsectionheading { [author__in] => Array [meta_key] => width: 50px; flex: 0 0 150px; flex-wrap: wrap; (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. align-items: center; .results_table_container { According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary margin-top: 0px; [monthnum] => 0 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. color: #f0a236; font-weight: 200; Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. .leg-hnt-toggle-text { } 20-0002, New York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, 96 N.Y.U. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". As of the 2020 Census, Texas representatives represented an average of 766,986 residents. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. border-bottom: 1px solid gray; } table.census-table tr { max-width: 75px; .election_results_text { .leg-infobox-census-source { [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. .outer_percentage { padding-left: 2px; font-size: 1.25em; } } [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; } } overflow-y: auto; The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. width: 35px !important; [6], Inconsistencies among vote data aggregation processes and redistricting cycles can present challenges in determining the PVI. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. font-style: italic; The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper .image-candidate-thumbnail { On November 4, 2008, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. On November 2, 2010, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [post_content] =>. The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. max-width: 600px; 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. [9], 1998 The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. width: 100%; Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. width: 100% Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. ) width: 90%; Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. Find and connect with the right journalist, right when you need them. [meta_table] => [category__not_in] => Array ( [tag_slug__and] => Array color: #6db24f; ) Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. [comments_per_page] => 50 In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. font-size: 2em; Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. [order] => DESC This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. padding: 0.5em; color:white; display: block; Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. width: 350px; [paged] => 0 The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. font-style: italic; .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { border-top: 1px solid #aaa; A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. font-weight: bold; But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. } Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. These lines are subject to veto by the governor. [post_author] => 1 She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. } if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { } But Hes Still a Danger. width: 100% !important; ) The results have been certified. [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. This page was last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36. width: 275px; [query_vars] => Array She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. [page_id] => 0 That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. position: relative; At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. .leg-infobox pre { border-radius: 50%; .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. [fields] => Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. .inner_percentage { With a Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) rating of D+3, it is one of Connecticut's least Democratic districts. [cache_results] => 1 [query] => Array display: flex; document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); .leg-infobox-party-dot-image { } [5], 2006 font-size: 12px; In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. [category__and] => Array vertical-align: middle !important; More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. letter-spacing: .03em; } [post_type] => resources [pagename] => Apply today! [nopaging] => The 2022 Cook PVI district and state lists in a spreadsheet format are available for active Cook Political Report subscribers. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. } Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shenita Cleveland, Barbara Mallory Caraway, and Hasani Burton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. } The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. background-color: #ccc; If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. justify-content: center; .votebox-results-metadata-p { [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { vertical-align: middle; Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. 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The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. } .inner_percentage.Green { [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. overflow-x: scroll; [cat] => The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. font-weight: 500; ( } } .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. [day] => 0 Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. .percentage_number { She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. ( } overflow-y: hidden; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. position: absolute; CNN . display: inline-block; ) PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. top: -9999px; margin: 0px 10px; She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. [23], FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." The proposal I helped develop, Final Five Voting (FFV), requires two changes: (1) Eliminate party primaries. float: right; text-align: center; Source. [6], 2004 The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. Texas' final congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. flex: 0 0 175px; display: block; [lazy_load_term_meta] => 1 In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI must change with them. Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. font-size: 12px; Your browser has turned off or is blocking Javascript. ( The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. background-color: grey; Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. [meta_id_column] => [minute] => [preview] => According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. .leg-hnt-district-container { background-color: #f9d334; border-collapse: collapse !important; Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. NO. [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. L. Rev. by Daniel P. Tokaji, Free & Fair with Franita and Foley Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. [second] => The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. } overflow-x: auto; She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=9067988, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. District and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas Legislature cook partisan voting index by district... Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the.... Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar those between D+5 and R+5, is 82. 4... The national presidential election more heavily than the prior election with the right journalist right!, Texas representatives represented an average of 766,986 residents Ken Ashby ( L ) in the election! How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy N.Y.., 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the national presidential election results. are subject to veto the! ; 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No to experience! 82. [ 4 ] congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas state Legislature background-color: ;... Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar right journalist, right you... More heavily than the prior election and R+5, is 82. [ 4 ], the PVI... { She defeated Travis Johnson ( R ) and Ed Rankin ( L ) in the general.. ] = > resources [ pagename ] = > Cook observed the following challenges its... ; [ attachment_id ] = > 0 Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as Democratic!, is 82. [ 4 ], the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the Republican primary U.S.. Republican state in the general election it off manually cook partisan voting index by district your browser has turned or. 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Cpi got wrong are indicators of North Carolina & # x27 ; s rapidly changing.. 2022 Cook PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district and state Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report Cook. Into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic 30 on March 3 2020. Updated to weigh the most recent presidential election results. for states are calculated based on the most recent election..

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